Heading into the final round of the Champions League group stage, Bayer Leverkusen hold the best chance among Bundesliga representatives to secure a top-eight finish. Despite a setback against Atlético Madrid (1:2) that ended their 15-match winning streak, the reigning German champions are poised to create numerous opportunities against Sparta Prague.
Bayer Leverkusen deserved at least a draw in Madrid, as they outperformed Atlético in terms of chances—0.82 vs 0.77 in xG and 13–5 in shots. Over the weekend, Bayer squandered a two-goal lead against Leipzig (2:2), but they still looked more dangerous, generating 2.41 xG and seven shots on target. Florian Wirtz is in blistering form, contributing 2+3 in his last 170 minutes of Bundesliga action.
After a solid start to the group stage, earning four points in their first two matches, Sparta’s campaign has collapsed. Their 0:1 defeat to Inter Milan marked their fifth consecutive loss in the competition, the worst streak among all participating teams. Furthermore, Sparta Prague have conceded 19 goals in seven matches—only four teams in the tournament have fared worse defensively.
Bayer Leverkusen will be further strengthened by the return of Victor Boniface, though the Nigerian striker will still need to compete with Patrik Schick for a starting spot. Regardless, Bayer are expected to dominate proceedings at home, likely enjoying a feast of chances in Sparta’s penalty area.
